We capitalists always trust the judgment of people who have their own money at risk rather than opinions that carry no consequences. As a follow up to my pre-convention post of Intrade prices, it seems my predictions are coming true.
The evil speculators over at InTrade bid down Obama by more than 10% over the last month and have bumped Mc'Cain. Obama's price is still much higher, but the folks who risk real money on these things are obviously seeing some warts on The One. The post-convention trading will be interesting. Stay tuned.